Country Specific Growth Rates

I have put together some code to analyse the Johns Hopkins Covid-19 global stats that are updated regularly.

Use the drop down boxes below to pick analysis on either Confirmed Cases or Deaths and a country to see the results.





  


 

The code looks at a country to see if there has been a change in the exponential rate of growth of cases. The series starts from the point where 100 cases were recorded for confirmed cases and 10 cases for deaths.

If y is the cumulative number of confirmed cases or deaths then exponential growth with look something like the following after t days.

y = K^t

If exponential growth is constant the K will not change over time. Note that exponential growth implies that K>1. If K changes over a period of time then we can see if the country has changed to a new level of exponential growth.

 

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